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  • Bartling, Björn; Fischbacher, Urs (2012): Shifting the Blame : On Delegation and Responsibility The Review of Economic Studies. 2012, 79(1), S. 67-87. ISSN 0034-6527. eISSN 1467-937X. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1093/restud/rdr023

    Shifting the Blame : On Delegation and Responsibility

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    To fully understand the motives for delegating a decision right, it is important to study responsibility attributions for outcomes of delegated decisions. We conducted laboratory experiments in which subjects could either choose a fair allocation or an unfair allocation or delegate the choice, and we used a punishment option to elicit responsibility attributions. Our results show that, first, responsibility attribution can be effectively shifted and, second, this can constitute a strong motive for the delegation of a decision right. Moreover, we propose a simple measure of responsibility and show that this measure outperforms measures based on inequity aversion or reciprocity in predicting punishment behaviour.

  • Retaliation and the role for punishment in the evolution of cooperation

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    Models of evolutionary game theory have shown that punishment may be an adaptive behaviour in environments characterised by a social-dilemma situation. Experimental evidence closely corresponds to this finding but questions the cooperation-enhancing e ffect of punishment if players are allowed to retaliate against their punishers. This study provides a theoretical explanation for the existence of retaliating behaviour in the context of repeated social dilemmas and analyses the role punishment can play in the evolution of cooperation under these conditions. We show a punishing strategy can pave the way for a partially-cooperative equilibrium of conditional cooperators and defecting types and, under positive mutation rates, foster the cooperation level in this equilibrium by prompting reluctant cooperators to cooperate. However, when rare mutations occur, it cannot sustain cooperation by itself as punishment costs favour the spread of non-punishing cooperators.

  • Ziegelmeyer, Anthony; Schmelz, Katrin; Ploner, Matteo (2012): Hidden costs of control : four repetitions and an extension Experimental Economics. 2012, 15(2), pp. 323-340. ISSN 1386-4157. eISSN 1573-6938. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s10683-011-9302-8

    Hidden costs of control : four repetitions and an extension

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    We report four repetitions of Falk and Kosfeld’s (Am. Econ. Rev. 96(5):1611–1630, 2006) low and medium control treatments with 476 subjects. Each repetition employs a sample drawn from a standard subject pool of students and demographics vary across samples. We largely confirm the existence of hidden costs of control but, contrary to the original study, hidden costs of control are usually not substantial enough to significantly undermine the effectiveness of economic incentives. Our subjects were asked, at the end of the experimental session, to complete a questionnaire in which they had to state their work motivation in hypothetical scenarios. Our questionnaires are identical to the ones administered in Falk and Kosfeld’s (Am. Econ. Rev. 96(5):1611–1630, 2006) questionnaire study. In contrast to the game play data, our questionnaire data are similar to those of the original questionnaire study. In an attempt to solve this puzzle, we report an extension with 228 subjects where performance-contingent earnings are absent i.e. both principals and agents are paid according to a flat participation fee. We observe that hidden costs significantly outweigh benefits of control under hypothetical incentives.

  • Maué, Elisabeth; Maag Merki, Katharina; Oerke, Britta (2012): Emotionales Erleben des Zentralabiturs von Lehrpersonen in Bremen : Längerfristige Effekte der Implementation zentraler Abiturprüfungen HORNBERG, Sabine, ed. and others. Deregulierung im Bildungswesen. Münster: Waxmann, 2012, pp. 109-130. ISBN 978-3-8309-2766-2

    Emotionales Erleben des Zentralabiturs von Lehrpersonen in Bremen : Längerfristige Effekte der Implementation zentraler Abiturprüfungen

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    dc.title:


    dc.contributor.author: Maag Merki, Katharina; Oerke, Britta

  • Golez, Benjamin; Jackwerth, Jens (2012): Pinning in the S&P 500 Futures Journal of Financial Economics. 2012, 106(3), pp. 566-585. ISSN 0304-405X. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.06.010

    Pinning in the S&P 500 Futures

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    We show that Standard & Poor’s (S&P) 500 futures are pulled toward the at-the-money strike price on days when serial options on the S&P 500 futures expire (pinning) and are pushed away from the cost-of-carry adjusted at-the-money strike price right before the expiration of options on the S&P 500 index (anti-cross-pinning). These effects are driven by the interplay of market makers’ rebalancing of delta hedges due to the time decay of those hedges as well as in response to reselling (and early exercise) of in-the-money options by individual investors. The associated shift in notional futures value is at least $115 million per expiration day.

  • Abortions and Inequality

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    In the last three decades over a million abortions were performed annually in the United States. Recent empirical studies assess the impact of legalization of abortions on living conditions of children and argue that legalization of abortions provides better living conditions and human capital endowments to surviving children. This paper takes seriously the hypothesis that legalized abortion can improve the living conditions of children and hence alter their future labor market outcomes. The main question of the paper is what are the implications of abortions for long-term income inequality. A model of marriage, fertility, human capital transmission, contraception and abortion decisions is built to answer this question quantitatively. Inequality will be higher in a world without abortions. The main reason for this is the higher and more unequally distributed number of children across households. Children also receive less human capital.

  • Franke, Günter; Herrmann, Markus; Weber, Thomas (2012): Loss Allocation in Securitization Transactions Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 2012, 47(05), pp. 1125-1153. ISSN 0022-1090. eISSN 1756-6916. Available under: doi: 10.1017/S0022109012000336

    Loss Allocation in Securitization Transactions

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    This paper analyses the loss allocation to First, Second and Third Loss Positions in European collateralized debt obligation transactions. The quality of the underlying asset pool plays a predominant role for the loss allocation. A lower asset pool quality induces the originator to take a higher First Loss Position, but, in a synthetic transaction, a smaller Third Loss Position. The share of expected default losses, borne by the First Loss Position, is largely independent of asset pool quality, but lower in securitizations of corporate loans than in those of corporate bonds. Originators with a good rating and low Tobin´s Q prefer synthetic transactions.

  • Alós-Ferrer, Carlos; Shi, Fei (2012): Imitation with asymmetric memory Economic Theory. Springer. 2012, 49(1), pp. 193-215. ISSN 0938-2259. eISSN 1432-0479. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s00199-010-0554-x

    Imitation with asymmetric memory

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    Models of learning in games based on imitation have provided fundamental insights as the relevance of risk-dominance equilibria or perfectly competitive outcomes. It has also been shown, however, that the introduction of nontrivial memory in those models fundamentally alters the results. This paper further considers the effect of asymmetric memory length in the population. We focus on two classical results and find that, while asymmetric memory crucially affects equilibrium selection in coordination games, it reinforces the stability of perfectly competitive outcomes in oligopoly games. The latter result is generalized to aggregative games and to finite population ESS in symmetric games.

  • Azariadis, Costas; Kaas, Leo (2012): Self-Fulfilling Credit Cycles

    Self-Fulfilling Credit Cycles

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    This paper argues that self-fulfilling beliefs in credit conditions can generate endogenously persistent business cycle dynamics. We develop a tractable dynamic general equilibrium model with idiosyncratic firm productivity shocks. Capital from less productive firms is lent to more productive ones in the form of credit secured by collateral and also as unsecured credit based on reputation. A dynamic complementarity between current and future credit constraints permits uncorrelated sunspot shocks to trigger persistent aggregate fluctuations in debt, factor productivity and output. In a calibrated version we compare the features of sunspot cycles with those generated by shocks to economic fundamentals.

  • External Information and Monetary Policy Transmission in New EU Member States : Results from FAVAR Models

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    We investigate the e_ects of monetary policy shocks in the new European Union member states Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. In contrast to existing studies, we explicitly account for external developments in European Monetary Union (EMU) countries and in other acceding countries. We do so by using factor-augmented vector-autoregressive models that employ the information from non-stationary factor time series. One set of VAR models includes factors obtained from a large cross-section of time series from EMU countries, while another set includes factors obtained from other acceding countries. We use cohesion analysis to facilitate the interpretation of the different factor time series. We find that including the EMU factors does not greatly affect the impulse response patterns in acceding countries. In contrast, including factors from other accession countries leads to substantial changes in impulse responses and to economically more plausible results. Overall, our analysis highlights that taking into account external economic developments properly is crucial for the analysis of monetary policy in the new EU member states.

  • Heterogeneous Reactions to Heterogeneity in Returns from Public Goods

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    In many cases individuals benefit differently from the provision of a public good. We study in a laboratory experiment how heterogeneity in returns and uncertainty affects unconditional and conditional contribution behavior in a linear public goods game. The elicitation of conditional contributions in combination with a within subject design allows us to investigate belief-independent and type-specific reactions to heterogeneity. We find that, on average, heterogeneity in returns decreases unconditional contributions but does not affects conditional contributions only weakly. Uncertainty in addition to heterogeneity reduces conditional contributions slightly. Individual reactions to heterogeneity differ systematically. Selfish subjects and one third of conditional cooperators do not react to heterogeneity whereas the reactions of the remaining conditional cooperators vary. A substantial part of heterogeneity in reactions can be explained by inequity aversion which accounts for different reference groups subjects compare to.

  • Belke, Ansgar; Potrafke, Niklas (2012): Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? : A panel data analysis for OECD countries Journal of International Money and Finance. Elsevier. 2012, 31(5), pp. 1126-1139. ISSN 0261-5606. eISSN 1873-0639. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.12.014

    Does government ideology matter in monetary policy? : A panel data analysis for OECD countries

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    This paper examines whether government ideology has influenced monetary policy in OECD countries. We use quarterly data in the 1980.1–2005.4 period and exclude EMU countries. Our Taylor-rule specification focuses on the interactions of a new time-variant index of central bank independence with government ideology. The results show that leftist governments have somewhat lower short-term nominal interest rates than rightwing governments when central bank independence is low. In contrast, short-term nominal interest rates are higher under leftist governments when central bank independence is high. The effect is more pronounced when exchange rates are flexible. Our findings are compatible with the view that leftist governments, in an attempt to deflect blame of their traditional constituencies, have pushed market-oriented policies by delegating monetary policy to conservative central bankers.

  • Audit Market Regulation, Supplier Concentration, and the Quality of Audited Financial Statements

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    In its recently published Green Paper, the European Commission 2010 discusses various reform proposals to enhance the reliability of audits and to re-establish trust in the financial market. The Commission primarily focuses on two topics: increasing auditor independence and reducing the high level of audit market concentration. However, these two topics and the reforms suggested are discussed entirely separately. This dissertation consists of three self-contained, but thematically and methodically related research papers that aim at disentangling the EU-Commission’s separating approach.

    As reliable financial statements are essential for financial market stability, auditing plays a crucial role in preventing further financial crises. So this dissertation addresses a currently highly observed field of accounting research. By combining micro- and macroeconomic model approaches, this thesis expands the methodology used for investigations in this field of research. This leads to interesting results, which shed new light on the effects of different measures proposed to increase audit quality.

  • Chiriac, Roxana; Pohlmeier, Winfried (2012): Improving the value at risk forecasts : theory and evidence from the financial crisis Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. 2012, 36(8), pp. 1212-1228. ISSN 0165-1889. eISSN 1879-1743. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.jedc.2011.10.005

    Improving the value at risk forecasts : theory and evidence from the financial crisis

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    The recent financial crisis has raised numerous questions about the accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR) as a tool to quantify extreme losses. In this paper we develop data-driven VaR approaches that are based on the principle of optimal combination and that provide robust and precise VaR forecasts for periods when they are needed most, such as the recent financial crisis. Within a comprehensive comparative study we provide the latest piece of empirical evidence on the performance of a wide range of standard VaR approaches and highlight the overall outperformance of the newly developed methods.

  • Five Essays on the Quantification and Measurement of Intellectual Achievements

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    This dissertation is a collection of five research papers written during my doctoral studies at the University of Konstanz between October 2007 and November 2011. The first four studies cover bibliometric topics whereas the last study deals with grading university students. All five studies contain empirical work, yet the main focus of the third and the fifth paper is theoretical. The first article analyses different aspects of the methodology of the Handelsblatt Ranking of the year 2007. The second article evaluates the research productivity of universities in business economics in Austria, Germany, and the German-speaking part of Switzerland. The third article presents a new method to evaluate research which provides a common basis for valuating research from different scientific disciplines. The fourth article investigates determinants of editing learned journals. Finally, the fifth paper presents a method to increase the precision of grades as a predictor of student ability. The paper also contains a case study. In the following I briefly summarize the main results.



    Chapter 1 is a reprint of a joint article with Prof. Heinrich Ursprung (University of Konstanz). The article „Das Handelsblatt Ökonomen-Ranking 2007: Eine kritische Beurteilung“ appeared in the Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 254-266, in 2008. We examine the methodology of the Handelsblatt Ranking which is currently the most recognized ranking of academic research in economics in Austria, Germany, and the German-speaking part of Switzerland and which is published on a yearly basis. Because it is frequently used as a research indicator the Handelsblatt ranking needs to be incentive compatible. We argue that (i) selecting a small set of journals instead of considering all journals, (ii) giving a bonus for co-authorship, and (iii) ignoring the length of an article distorts the research process and does not reflect of research achievements correctly. We analyze the latter for each of these aspects separately and show that the rankings of some researchers differ significantly depending on which method we use. We further show that these differences persist also at the aggregate level of departments. Finally, we argue that the Handelsblatt should focus more on research output per professor than the total output of a department as the latter is highly driven by the number of department members and is not necessarily related to high average productivity.



    Chapter 2 is joint work with Prof. Oliver Fabel (University of Vienna) and Miriam Henseler, née Hein (DFG). Our paper “Research Productivity in Business Economics: An Investigation of Austrian, German and Swiss Universities” was published in the German Economic Review, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 506-531, in the year 2008. We draw on a new dataset that collects the research output of business economists employed by Austrian, German and Swiss universities in spring 2008. The data set comprises publication records and personal data of roughly 1,800 scientists. We compute research rankings of departments and identify the leading departments in selected subdisciplines. Our results indicate that productivity differences between departments are relatively small and concentration of research output across departments is low. Using Tobit and Hurdle regressions, we investigate how institutional design and individual characteristics affect research productivity. We find that research productivity increases with department size as measured by the number of department members and with the number of a department's professors who actively publish. Moreover, productivity is higher in departments that run an economics study program. In line with the life cycle hypothesis we observe that the productivity of active researchers decreases with higher career age. Female business economists appear to be less productive than their male peers. It should be noted, that the paper has received considerable attention in the scientific community and gave rise to two comments. In two replies we show that our results are robust with regard to the points raised in these two comments.



    Chapter 3 develops a new method to evaluating research and is also available as a working paper of the University of Konstanz. In this paper I adopt the notion that the ultimate aim of research is not to gain intellectual insights but to contribute to the well-being of mankind. Therefore I propose a generational accounting approach to valuating research. Based on the flow of scientific results, a value-added (VA) index is developed that can, in principle, be used to assign a monetary value to any research result and, by aggregation, on entire academic disciplines or sub-disciplines. The basic idea of the VA-index is to distribute the value of all applications that embody research to the works of research which the applications directly rely on, and further to the works of research of previous generations which the authors of the immediate reference sources have directly or indirectly made use of. Thereby a piece of research is valued at its final contribution to utility. The major contribution of the VA-index is to provide a measure of the value of research that is comparable across academic disciplines. To illustrate how the generational accounting approach works, I present a VA-based journal rating and a rating of the most influential recent journal articles in the field of economics.



    Chapter 4 is an article written with Matthias Krapf (University of Vienna). The article “How Do Editors Select Papers, and How Good are They at Doing It?” appeared in The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, Vol. 11, Iss. 1 (Topics), Article 64. We use data on the B.E. Journals that rank articles into four quality tiers to examine the accuracy of the research evaluation process in economics. We find that submissions by authors with strong publication records and authors affiliated with highly-ranked institutions are significantly more likely to be published in higher tiers. Citation success as measured by RePEc statistics also depends heavily on the overall research records of the authors. Moreover, when controlling for the research topic as defined by JEL codes, we find that women receive significantly more citations than men. Finally and most importantly, we measure how successful the B.E. Journals' editors and their reviewers have been at assigning articles to quality tiers. While, on average, they are able to distinguish more influential from less influential manuscripts, we also observe many assignments that are not compatible with the belief that research quality is reflected by the number of citations.



    Chapter 5 is the current version of a joint paper with Prof. Heinrich Ursprung (University of Konstanz) in which we develop a new method to standardize grades when not all students take the same exams. Our method uses regression analysis to control for differences in the difficulty of individual exams to arrive at more informative grades. Our approach relies on the idea that the difference between a student's ability and the received grade reflects the difficulty of the exam. We estimate the students' abilities via a system of equations, i.e. we derive the abilities endogenously. A key feature as compared to other methods to standardize grades is that we do not only compute a standardized grade point average (GPA) but also provide standardized grades at the level of individual exams. Using genuine examination data, we illustrate that our approach fares better than ECTS grading. Moreover, we show that grading standards differ significantly between different exams and, arguably, different courses. If grades are not standardized in a sensible way, students are likely to choose soft courses. Standardizing grades eliminates such distortions and will lead to a more efficient selection of students into courses.

  • Which Pay for what Performance? : Evidence from Executive Compensation in Germany and the United States

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    This paper analyzes executive compensation in German and U.S. corporations for the period 2005-2009 including the financial crisis. We analyze the impact of stock market performance and accounting-based measures of firm performance on different compensation components. We find that only firm earnings explain total executive compensation in both samples while stock market performance does not. Cash bonus payments of German executives are explained by firm earnings and not by stock returns while U.S. bonuses are also determined by stock returns. Moreover, the sensitivity of cash bonuses to firm performance depends on firm risk and firm size. We also provide evidence that firms choose performance measures with low volatility. Finally, we find that pay-performance sensitivities are higher in the U.S. than in Germany, but have no robust explanation how long-term compensation such as company stock and options is granted in either country.

  • Franke, Günter; Krahnen, Jan (2012): Marktkräfte und Finanzstabilität : Desiderate und Auswirkungen eines institutionellen Rahmens für Bankenrestrukturierung Zeitschrift für Bankrecht und Bankwirtschaft. 2012, 24(5), pp. 399-412. ISSN 0936-2800. Available under: doi: 10.15375/zbb-2012-0518

    Marktkräfte und Finanzstabilität : Desiderate und Auswirkungen eines institutionellen Rahmens für Bankenrestrukturierung

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    dc.contributor.author: Krahnen, Jan

  • Stamm, Margrit; Schumann, Stephan; Leumann, Seraina (2012): Was Lehrbetriebe zur Lehrvertragsstabilität beitragen können Applica : Zeitschrift für das Maler- und Gipsergewerbe. 2012(4), pp. 1-3

    Was Lehrbetriebe zur Lehrvertragsstabilität beitragen können

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    dc.contributor.author: Stamm, Margrit; Leumann, Seraina

  • Deißinger, Thomas; Wern, Roland (2012): Übergangsprobleme von der Berufsbildung zum tertiären Bereich : Was können "Hybridqualifikationen" leisten? Berufsbildung : Zeitschrift für Praxis und Theorie in Betrieb und Schule. 2012, 66(133), pp. 21-23. ISSN 0005-9536

    Übergangsprobleme von der Berufsbildung zum tertiären Bereich : Was können "Hybridqualifikationen" leisten?

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  • Labour market frictions, monetary policy and durable goods

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    The standard two-sector monetary business cycle model suffers from an important deficiency. Since durable good prices are more flexible than non-durable good prices, optimising households build up the stock of durable goods at low cost after a monetary contraction. Consequently, sectoral outputs move in opposite directions. This paper finds that labour market frictions help to understand the so-called sectoral “comovement puzzle”. Our benchmark model with staggered Right-to-Manage wage bargaining closely matches the empirical elasticities of output, employment and hours per worker across sectors. The model with Nash bargaining, in contrast, predicts that firms adjust employment exclusively along the extensive margin.

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